A weaker U.S. consumer means recession risk can't be taken off the table, says Lakshman Achuthan, co-founder of the Economic Cycle Research Institute.
"We've been tracking the overall economy slowing, jobs growth slowing, manufacturing slowing, and the hope has been that the consumer's just going to bail everybody out," he said, citing the chart below.
Now, consumer spending growth is at roughly a 2½-year low excluding the sharp nosedive that occurred in December 2018, the economic forecaster said.
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