Experts say forecasting models based on historical records have become outdated as climate change bakes the planet.
, climate experts and meteorologists say the gap between the destruction and what was forecast underscores a troublesome aspect of climate change: Models used to predict storm impacts do not always keep up with increasingly devastating rainstorms, hurricanes, heat waves and other events.
The deadly June 2021 heat wave that scorched the Pacific Northwest offered another example. Warmer weather had been expected, but not temperatures of up to 116 degrees that toppled previous records and killed an estimated 600 or more people in Oregon, Washington state and western Canada. If the road hadn’t been closed, “we probably would have had fatalities, unquestionably” park Superintendent Cam Sholly said.Interior Secretary Deb Haaland was scheduled to visit Yellowstone Friday to survey the damage and ongoing repairs.
Smith says her partner keeps track of the weather on his computer and they were aware rain was coming and that the creek was running high. But they were not aware of flooding threat when they went to bed the night before, she said. While no single weather event can be conclusively tied to climate change, scientists said the Yellowstone flooding was consistent with changes already documented around the park as temperatures warm.
The rate of the most extreme rainstorms in some areas has increased up to a factor of five, Masters said. So an event with a 1% chance of happening in any given year — commonly referred to as a “one in 100-year” event — would have an approximately 5% chance of happening, he said.
Deutschland Neuesten Nachrichten, Deutschland Schlagzeilen
Similar News:Sie können auch ähnliche Nachrichten wie diese lesen, die wir aus anderen Nachrichtenquellen gesammelt haben.
Yellowstone flooding reveals forecast flaws as climate warmsSome weather experts say the recent flooding that devastated Yellowstone National Park underscores an urgent need to update how the government issues forecasts as extreme weather becomes more frequent
Weiterlesen »
Yellowstone flooding reveals forecast flaws as climate warmsSome weather experts say the recent flooding that devastated Yellowstone National Park underscores an urgent need to update how the government issues forecasts as extreme weather becomes more frequent.
Weiterlesen »
Warming world creates hazard for Alpine glaciersItaly endured a prolonged heat wave before an Alpine glacier broke off and killed seven hikers and left others unaccounted for.
Weiterlesen »
Warming world creates more hazards for Alpine glaciersSeven hikers died and several others are unaccounted for after large chunks of ice and rock from the Marmolada glacier sped down the mountain in an avalanche. Higher temperatures coupled with below…
Weiterlesen »
Take a wild guess which Netflix show is the biggest in the world this weekThe final two episodes of 'Stranger Things 4' just debuted on Netflix a few days ago, helping the show remain atop the Netflix Top 10 list.
Weiterlesen »
Stuck in Your Own Spotlight MiseryOther people don't notice our flaws and mistakes nearly as much or as often as we think they do. Here's why.
Weiterlesen »