3 points to keep in mind as states begin to reopen
its careful monitoring constitutes both the safest and fastest way for the United States to implement a reopening strategyis less than 1.0, each infected person transmits the virus to less than one other individual. As a result, the disease incidence will decline and the virus will slowly die out.equals 1.0, each infected person will transmit the virus to one other individual. As a result, the infection rate will remain constant and there won’t be a future spike . is more than 1.
If we want Americans to better understand the relative safety and preparedness of local and regional “reopening” plans, we must base our decisions on this important number. has been on some form of lockdown order for several weeks now. People are losing patience. As our nation eagerly eyes the future, we must let science inform our decisions about reopening small businesses, allowing students to return to class and easing social restrictions.
If we move ahead too quickly, we risk losing lives unnecessarily. If we move too slowly, we also risk unnecessary deaths. We can’t allow politics or panic to push our nation too far in either direction. These three facts, based on science, should guide the way.
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