GIVEN that Mhairi Black retained Paisley and Renfrewshire South for the SNP in 2019 with an absolute majority of the votes cast, it’s…
Mhairi Black stepped down from Westminster after wearying of what she describes as the 'toxic' culture in the House of Commonsin 2019 with an absolute majority of the votes cast, it’s intuitively hard to believe that the seat could be in any danger of falling to
The vast majority will almost certainly have been in the latter category, but nevertheless even if Black’s personal vote accounted for only 2% or 3%, that could be enough to make it significantly more difficult for the SNP to defend the seat with their new standard-bearer Jacqueline Cameron, who is a local councillor in Johnstone and also the depute leader of Renfrewshire Council, but is nowhere near as well known to the public as Black.
And as in the other Paisley and Renfrewshire constituency to the north, the unionist vote was heavily split last time, with notional figures suggesting Labour took 25% of the vote within the new boundaries and theIf there is dramatically greater unionist unity behind Labour on Thursday, the SNP could struggle to cope with that given that their own vote share is likely to be significantly reduced.
Douglas Alexander’s uncomfortable body language as he conceded defeat to Black in 2015 became one of the defining images of that year’s SNP landslide, and the media love nothing better than being able to show that an iconic election moment from the past has been turned upside down.
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