General Election 2024: Tory wipeout and 12 ministers at risk of losing seats, YouGov poll suggests

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General Election 2024: Tory wipeout and 12 ministers at risk of losing seats, YouGov poll suggests
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Sir Keir Starmer could be heading to Downing Street with the biggest majority for 100 years - the biggest since Stanley Baldwin was elected - according to the first polling projection by YouGov since the election was called.

Labour could be on course to win a historic landslide, with the party expected to win a 194-seat majority, a YouGov poll shows. It would be the highest number of seats of any party at any election since Stanley Baldwin won a majority of 208 in 1924. Sky News has partnered with YouGov for the campaign and today we publish the first of their three polling projections, known as MRPs, which suggests the United Kingdom is on the cusp of a major redrawing of the political landscape.

This would mean Ed Davey's party does not break records but takes them back to their previous levels of success under Lord Ashdown, who got 46 seats in 1997 and 62 under Charles Kennedy. The SNP would get 17 of 57 seats in Scotland in this projection and down 31 seats on the notional 2019 results. This is the nationalist party's lowest score this decade and well down from the peak of 56 out of 59 seats in 2015.

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