If generative AI proves as transformational as its boosters claim, the technology could give those who wield them an economic and military edge in the 21st century’s chief geopolitical contest
, which analyse the web’s worth of human text, images or sounds and can then create increasingly passable simulacrums, have only strengthened the obsession. If generativeproves as transformational as its boosters claim, the technology could give those who wield them an economic and military edge in the 21st century’s chief geopolitical contest. Western and Chinese strategists already talk of anprowess, the autocracy pulled ahead some time ago .
That was a blow to Chinese model-builders. An analysis of 26 big Chinese models by the Centre for the Governance of, a British think-tank, found that more than half depended on Nvidia, an American chip designer, for their processing power. Some reports suggest that, China’s biggest chip manufacturer, has produced prototype chips which are just a generation or two behind, the Taiwanese industry leader that manufactures chips for Nvidia .
The triple shortage—of data, hardware and expertise—has been a genuine hurdle for China. Whether it will hold ChineseTake data. On February 13th the local authorities in Beijing, where nearly a third of China’sfirms are located, said they were releasing data from 115 state-affiliated organisations, giving model-builders 15,880 data sets to play with. To liberate more data, the central government also wants to dismantle Chinese apps’ walled gardens.
China could partly alleviate the dearth of chips—and of brain power—with the help of “open-source” models. Such models’ inner workings can be downloaded by anyone and fine-tuned to a specific task. Most importantly, that includes the numbers, called “weights”, which define the structure of the model and which are derived from costly training runs.
Such considerations make it hard to imagine that either America or China could in the long run build an unbridgeable lead ins of roughly similar ability, even if it costs China over the odds to keep up in the face of American sanctions. But even if the race of the model-builders is a dead heat, America has one thing going for it that could make it the bigwinner—its peerless ability to spread cutting-edge innovation throughout the economy.
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