The only surefire way to make the NFL playoffs is to win the division. As such, it behooves teams to shoot for the top of their division rather than pray for a wild-card spot. Eighteen of the past 23 Super Bowl winners also won their division, including 11 since 2010.
The odds difference between the shortest odds and each of the other three teams, respectively
The rest of the division remains uncertain. The Seahawks returned most of their core but aren’t locks to return to the postseason. The Los Angeles Rams are a shell of their 2021 championship version and the Arizona Cardinals, who drag the average odds to win the division way down at +2200, might be the worst team in the league heading into the 2023 season.There is no other team in the division who could or should compete with the Jacksonville Jaguars this season.
The Chargers are the only team who could push the Chiefs, but they have to stay healthy. Justin Herbert is 2-4 against the Chiefs in his career and lost those four games by an average of only 3.75 points. TheThe rise of the Cincinnati Bengals puts them squarely in the driver’s seat for the division without much competition behind them. Joe Burrow is reaching his ceiling as a quarterback and should be bolstered by the addition of tackle Orlando Brown on the offensive line.
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