THE 15 miles of sea that separate the two component parts of the North Ayrshire and Arran constituency may have played a key role in originally…
THE 15 miles of sea that separate the two component parts of the North Ayrshire and Arran constituency may have played a key role in originally bringing about the SNP dominance of Scottish politics that will be under threat this week.briefly threatened to challenge that result due to the large number of rejected ballots, with a particular focus on damaged votes that had come over the water from Arran.
Part of the explanation for this relative Labour weakness may be that the constituency, in common with the other Ayrshire seats, is more socio-economically mixed than the parts of Scotland where Labour’s position was most impregnable in the late 20th century. A proportion of them will undoubtedly switch to Labour due to deep disaffection with the Sunak administration, but as long as that only happens in line with the trends suggested by national polls, the SNP should hold the seat with a reduced majority.
If Labour are sending out bar chart leaflets to pitch for tactical votes, they’re going to have to be considerably more creative than simply praying in aid the result of the last general election.
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