The 360 | Would replacing Pence boost Trump’s reelection chances?
Vice presidents typically have extraordinary job security. Historically, they’re more likely to graduate to the top job than to be fired. Only once in modern American history has a sitting president ditched his running mate ahead of a reelection bid.
With fewer than 80 days until the election, the odds that Trump would replace Pence are likely slim. But that hasn’t halted discussion about whether a running-mate switcheroo might benefit the president’s reelection chances.Biden has held a steady lead over Trump in national and swing-state polls for months, leading pundits to argue that the president needs a major shake-up to make up ground before November.
Opponents of the idea say that adding a new face to the Republican ticket would project a message of panic and solidify the perception of a flailing campaign. Others say Pence has proven himself to be a loyal No. 2 throughout the many controversies of Trump’s first term. It might also be difficult to convince one of the Republican Party’s rising stars to sign on to a ticket that appears likely to lose in November.
Pence may want out“Pence, too, may be calculating his personal odds. Over the past four years, he has served Trump with canine fealty. But if he reckons that Trump is doomed to lose badly in 2020, he might prefer not to be on the ticket. He could portray himself as a martyr who had been casually given the heave-ho by Trump and remains the only true representative of the conservative faith.
Pence has been extremely loyal to the president“No vice president has been more loyal than Pence.” — Carl P. Leubsdorf, Boston Herald
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