An overview of what's going on in the tropics....
REMEMBER WHEN A TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE IS APPROACHING: Taping windows is *not* recommended & will not keep glass from breaking. Instead close curtains & blinds.
Meanwhile...“Franklin” hit Haiti & especially the Dominican Republic with very heavy rain last Wed. The hurricane rapidly intensified to a high end Cat. 4 Monday when the storm finally found the “sweet spot” of the SW Atlantic but at least is not a threat to land. There will be some distant impacts on the U.S. east coast through midweek. Franklin will accelerate to the north/northeast, & there will be some impacts for Bermuda by Tuesday but *not* a direct hit on the island.
REALIZE ALL THESE IMPACTS ARE BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS THAT WILL CHANGE TO AT LEAST SOME DEGREE... & UNDERSTAND IMPACTS WILL BE MUCH GREATER CLOSER TO LANDFALL . The American GFS model - which was late to the “party” - takes a strong hurricane more north with a landfall on the Central/Eastern Panhandle of Florida early Wed. & has been pretty consistent with a landfall farther west vs. the Euro, Canadian & UKMET.Idalia is forecast to turn more northeast by Wed. night moving off the coast of the Carolina’s Thursday.
Once over the W. Atlantic, a loop back to the south & southwest will be possible next week, but Idalia looks to be a good deal weaker at that point.The times below correlate with “most likely” arrival time of winds equal to or greater than 39 mph:
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