Disney’s ‘Mulan’ Gamble: How Much Can It Make By Skipping Theaters?

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Disney’s ‘Mulan’ Gamble: How Much Can It Make By Skipping Theaters?
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Breaking down Disney's gamble opening Mulan on Disney Plus

citing NBCUniversal chief Jeff Shell. The Journal further calculated that, based on a retention of roughly 80% of digital rental fees, “Trolls World Tour” had likely grossed nearly $100 million from nearly 5 million in rentals.

Finally, let’s do some rather unforgiving math. If “Mulan” equaled “Trolls World Tour’s” purportedly record-setting debut — bearing in mind that “Mulan” costs $10 more per rental than “Trolls World Tour” did, on top of the Disney Plus subscription fee — “Mulan” would earn Disney just over $149 million in grosses in its first three weeks. That is, to put it mildly, not nearly enough to break even.

“Mulan” is one of Disney’s more well-known titles, especially for parents who grew up in the ’90s and fondly remember the animated musical feature. The studio is banking on that name recognition justifying the higher $29.95 price point. But as was the case before the pandemic for so many potential blockbusters, should domestic interest in “Mulan” prove softer than top-line hopes, its full earnings potential will be decided largely by its theatrical release in China.

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